Bills Futures (Super Bowl +600, NFC Champion +350, Division -220)
2021 Record: 11-6
Key Additions / Departures
|Signings / Resignings||Notable Draft Picks||Departures|
|WR||Jamison Crowder||CB||Kaiir Elam||WR||Cole Beasley|
|TE||O.J. Howard||RB||James Cook||WR||Emmanuel Sanders|
|Edge||Von Miller||LB||Terrell Bernard||Edge||Jerry Hughes|
|RB||Duke Johnson||WR||Khalil Shakir||Edge||Mario Addison|
Offensive Depth Charts (with Phantasia Sports ADP Rankings – PPR)
|QB||Josh Allen||Josh Allen (22.2)|
|RB||Devin Singletary / Zack Moss||Devin Singletary (74) / James Cook (92.5)|
|WR1||Stefon Diggs||Stefon Diggs (13.3)|
|WR2||Cole Beasley||Gabriel Davis (75.8)|
|WR3||Gabe Davis||Isaiah McKenzie (161.1)|
|WR4||Emmanuel Sanders||Jamison Crowder (175.4)|
|TE||Dawson Knox||Dawson Knox (86.8)|
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The Bills are the odds-on favorites to come out of their division, the AFC, and win the Super Bowl in 2022. This team is good. Like, really good. I can sit here and gas up Josh Allen but he is also the odds-on favorite to win MVP, so there is no need. I’m going to focus on one guy – Gabe Davis. The Gabe bus is getting full, but there’s still room to hop on. After week 12 of last season: 45 targets, 26 receptions, 479 yards, 7 touchdowns. This includes his monster playoff game versus Kansas City, BUT he also missed week 15. I know that the Bills brought in Jamison Crowder, but they paid him basically nothing (just over $1M guaranteed). They chose not to bring back Cole Beasley at a presumably hefty price because this franchise believes in Gabe Davis and you should too. Dawson Knox emerged as a top tight end red zone threat last season. Without burying the lead too much, let’s not forget defenses are going to have Stefon Diggs to worry about. This team is absolutely stacked.
The running game. This is a case of beating a dead horse but everyone knows how truly awful this backfield has been for the last few seasons. Devin Singletary is in the final year of his rookie contract and has yet to rush for over 900 yards in a season, mustering only 9 rushing touchdowns in that time. Zack Moss has flashed potential for higher upside than the RB1 but had less than 100 carries last year in this 65/35 time split (Moss is also a free agent after the 2023 season). To make matters even more difficult, the Bills drafted James Cook in the second round of this year’s draft. The Bills have hope that Cook is the guy for the future in this backfield, but this is looking more and more like a 3-headed monster heading into their 2022 campaign. All of these guys have flashed potential but figuring out how the Bills want to get all of these guys touches makes for a massive headache. A lot of this struggle can be blamed on the offensive line – the definitive weakest link on this team. The unit has been built to pass block and therefore struggle mightily in the run game. They lack big names and try to make up for it in depth.
Can the best part of this team also be the ugliest? I’m going to nitpick here when it comes to the Super Bowl favorites. I think Josh Allen is due for more regression in 2022. Brian Daboll packed his bags for the Big Apple leaving this offense with first time play caller Ken Dorsey. This will be Allen’s first season without the offensive guru credited to his insane development since entering the league. Josh Allen also saw regression from the 2020 season to the 2021 season. The lack of a stable run game has increased Josh Allen’s passing attempts by almost 100 each season since he entered the league. With 2,000 total pass attempts in his first four years – including only starting 11 games his rookie season. Is it possible that Josh Allen can throw the ball 700+ times this season? Can Allen’s arm keep up with this offense trying to run everyone out of the building? How successful is this long term? I would never wish ill will on a player but after hearing the concern for Matt Stafford’s arm/elbow coming into this season, we all know the pass attempts he racked up in Detroit and I believe there might be cause for concern here in an entirely one-dimensional offense.
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UNDERDOG FANTASY TOP BEST BALL STACKS
|Stefon Diggs||ADP 7.9 – Round 1|
|Josh Allen||ADP 31.8 – Round 2|
|Gabe Davis||ADP 44.1 – Round 3|
|Dawson Knox||ADP 104.2 – Round 8|
|*Note: this Best Ball stack is extremely taxing on the rest of your roster with having to take the top 3 options in the first three rounds|