Patriots Futures (Super Bowl +4000, NFC Champion +2200, Division +500)
2021 Record: 10-7
Key Additions / Departures
| Signings / Resignings | Notable Draft Picks | Departures | |||
| DE | DeVante Parker | G | Cole Strange | CB | J.C. Jackson |
| LB | Mack Wilson | WR | Tyquan Thornton | DE | Chase Winovich |
| S | Jabril Peppers | CB | Marcus Jones | G | Shaq Mason |
| CB | Jack Jones | OL | Ted Karras |
Offensive Depth Charts (with Phantasia Sports ADP Rankings – PPR)
| 2021 | 2022 | |
| QB | Mac Jones | Mac Jones (159.5) |
| RB | Damien Harris / Rhamondre Stevenson / James White | Damien Harris (56.9) / Rhamondre Stevenson (87.9) |
| WR1 | Jakobi Meyers | DeVante Parker (130.6) |
| WR2 | Nelson Agholor | Jakobi Meyers (157.4) |
| WR3 | Kendrick Bourne | Kendrick Bourne (188) |
| WR4 | N’Keal Harry | Nelson Agholor (205) |
| TE | Hunter Henry | Hunter Henry (131.8) |
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THE GOOD
I am all in on Rhamondre Stevenson this season. In his 2021 timeshare, Stevenson ran 133 times for 606 yards and 5 touchdowns. These numbers don’t do justice to how hard and physical Stevenson is in the backfield. With a whopping 2.7 yards after contact per attempt, he ranked behind only Rashaad Penny, Nick Chubb, and Jonathan Taylor in that category. Damien Harris’ rookie deal expires going into next season and I don’t anticipate the Patriots signing him to a long term deal after drafting Pierre Strong Jr. in the fourth round. Another guy I’m circling in this offense, to probably some surprise, is Hunter Henry. At the beginning of the 2021 season, the tight end position was projected to be split between Henry and Jonnu Smith. Jonnu eventually worked his way slowly out of this. Jakob Johnson was the only fullback on the roster in 2021 but was cut this offseason. I anticipate that Jonnu Smith falls into a role as a hybrid H-back leaving tight end reps almost 100% on Henry. Last year from week 4 onward, Henry was targeted on 42% of his routes in the red zone resulting in finishing the season with 9 touchdowns.
THE BAD
At the end of the day, this team is going to go as far as Mac Jones takes them. Although he was impressive in his rookie season, Jones’ 37.3% completion percentage and 40.7% off-target rate when throwing 20+ yards down field leaves a lot to be desired. Some of this could be blamed on his lack of talent at wide receiver last year but I’m not entirely sure how much it improved. DeVante Parker is a big name but has only played an entire season once since entering the league in 2015. It’s no secret that Jakobi Meyers doesn’t know where the end zone is and Kendrick Bourne is middling at best. Nelson Agholor has flashed upside through camp thus far but has yet to prove himself as something more than a field stretcher with inconsistent numbers.
THE UGLY
The man responsible for the offensive play calling since 2012 has left the building. Josh McDaniels is now the head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2022 season. Now, you can say all you want about the importance of Brady and Belichick, but this man was the brains behind the whole offensive operation. Let’s not forget that in his first stint calling plays in New England from 2006-2008, McDaniels called a Matt Cassel-led Patriots offense to an 11-5 record after a Brady season-ending injury. When McDaniels left for Las Vegas, he also brought along offensive line coach Carmen Bricillo, receivers coach Mick Lombardi, and quarterbacks coach Bo Hardegree. Now this once explosive offense is in the hands of Joe Judge and Matt Patricia, which is extremely concerning when you have two formerly fired head coaches trying to lead a young quarterback to success in a partially new system.
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UNDERDOG FANTASY TOP BEST BALL STACKS
| Rhamondre Stevenson | ADP 88 – Round 7 |
| Damien Harris | ADP 99.8 – Round 8 |
| Hunter Henry | ADP 151.4 – Round 12 |
| Mac Jones | ADP 177.7 – Round 14 |
