Category Archives: AFC East

Buffalo Bills 2022 Fantasy Breakdown

Bills Futures (Super Bowl +600, NFC Champion +350, Division -220)

2021 Record: 11-6

Key Additions / Departures
Signings / ResigningsNotable Draft PicksDepartures
WRJamison CrowderCBKaiir ElamWRCole Beasley
TEO.J. HowardRBJames CookWREmmanuel Sanders
EdgeVon MillerLBTerrell BernardEdgeJerry Hughes
RBDuke JohnsonWRKhalil ShakirEdgeMario Addison
Offensive Depth Charts (with Phantasia Sports ADP Rankings – PPR)
20212022
QBJosh AllenJosh Allen (22.2)
RBDevin Singletary / Zack MossDevin Singletary (74) / James Cook (92.5)
WR1Stefon DiggsStefon Diggs (13.3)
WR2Cole BeasleyGabriel Davis (75.8)
WR3Gabe DavisIsaiah McKenzie (161.1)
WR4Emmanuel SandersJamison Crowder (175.4)
TEDawson KnoxDawson Knox (86.8)

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THE GOOD

The Bills are the odds-on favorites to come out of their division, the AFC, and win the Super Bowl in 2022. This team is good. Like, really good. I can sit here and gas up Josh Allen but he is also the odds-on favorite to win MVP, so there is no need. I’m going to focus on one guy – Gabe Davis. The Gabe bus is getting full, but there’s still room to hop on. After week 12 of last season: 45 targets, 26 receptions, 479 yards, 7 touchdowns. This includes his monster playoff game versus Kansas City, BUT he also missed week 15. I know that the Bills brought in Jamison Crowder, but they paid him basically nothing (just over $1M guaranteed). They chose not to bring back Cole Beasley at a presumably hefty price because this franchise believes in Gabe Davis and you should too. Dawson Knox emerged as a top tight end red zone threat last season. Without burying the lead too much, let’s not forget defenses are going to have Stefon Diggs to worry about. This team is absolutely stacked.

THE BAD

The running game. This is a case of beating a dead horse but everyone knows how truly awful this backfield has been for the last few seasons. Devin Singletary is in the final year of his rookie contract and has yet to rush for over 900 yards in a season, mustering only 9 rushing touchdowns in that time. Zack Moss has flashed potential for higher upside than the RB1 but had less than 100 carries last year in this 65/35 time split (Moss is also a free agent after the 2023 season). To make matters even more difficult, the Bills drafted James Cook in the second round of this year’s draft. The Bills have hope that Cook is the guy for the future in this backfield, but this is looking more and more like a 3-headed monster heading into their 2022 campaign. All of these guys have flashed potential but figuring out how the Bills want to get all of these guys touches makes for a massive headache. A lot of this struggle can be blamed on the offensive line – the definitive weakest link on this team. The unit has been built to pass block and therefore struggle mightily in the run game. They lack big names and try to make up for it in depth. 

THE UGLY

Can the best part of this team also be the ugliest? I’m going to nitpick here when it comes to the Super Bowl favorites. I think Josh Allen is due for more regression in 2022. Brian Daboll packed his bags for the Big Apple leaving this offense with first time play caller Ken Dorsey. This will be Allen’s first season without the offensive guru credited to his insane development since entering the league. Josh Allen also saw regression from the 2020 season to the 2021 season. The lack of a stable run game has increased Josh Allen’s passing attempts by almost 100 each season since he entered the league. With 2,000 total pass attempts in his first four years – including only starting 11 games his rookie season. Is it possible that Josh Allen can throw the ball 700+ times this season? Can Allen’s arm keep up with this offense trying to run everyone out of the building? How successful is this long term? I would never wish ill will on a player but after hearing the concern for Matt Stafford’s arm/elbow coming into this season, we all know the pass attempts he racked up in Detroit and I believe there might be cause for concern here in an entirely one-dimensional offense.

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UNDERDOG FANTASY TOP BEST BALL STACKS
Stefon DiggsADP 7.9 – Round 1
Josh AllenADP 31.8 – Round 2
Gabe DavisADP 44.1 – Round 3
Dawson KnoxADP 104.2 – Round 8
*Note: this Best Ball stack is extremely taxing on the rest of your roster with having to take the top 3 options in the first three rounds 

Miami Dolphins 2022 Fantasy Breakdown

Dolphins Futures (Super Bowl +4000, NFC Champion +2000, Division +450)

2021 Record: 9-8

Key Additions / Departures
Signings / ResigningsNotable Draft PicksDepartures
WRTyreek HillLBChanning TindallWRDeVante Parker
RBSony MichelWRErik EzukanmaCBJustin Coleman
GConnor WilliamsLBCameron GoodeRBDuke Johnson Jr.
OTTerron ArmsteadQBSkylar ThompsonQBJacoby Brissett
Offensive Depth Charts (with Phantasia Sports ADP Rankings – PPR)
20212022
QBTua TagovailoaTua Tagovailoa (129.8)
RBMyles Gaskin / Malcolm Brown / Salvon AhmedChase Edmonds (78.1) / Raheem Mostert (112.2) / Sony Michel (153) / Myles Gaskin (170.7)
WR1DeVante ParkerTyreek Hill (22.1)
WR2Jaylen Waddle Jaylen Waddle (46.8)
WR3Albert Wilson Cedrick Wilson Jr. (192)
WR4Mack HollinsPreston Williams (295)
TEMike GesickiMike Gesicki (121)

RotoRadar is extremely excited to be partnering with Phantasia Sports for the 2022-23 NFL season! As the first blockchain-powered, peer-to-peer fantasy sports platform, Phantasia is changing the way you play both DFS and season-long. With zero ‘house’ fee worries, let the blockchain run and manage your league entry fees and payouts on their platform! All RotoRadar season-long fantasy football leagues will be Phantasia-powered and we couldn’t be more excited to take this next step of innovation with all of you.

Sign up to join/create leagues via this link!


THE GOOD

Shiny new toys. This offense has fire power on paper to keep up with almost any offense in the NFL. Out of almost nowhere, Miami made a deal with Kansas City to bring in a man that needs no introduction in Tyreek Hill. Chase Edmonds, Raheem Mostert, and Sony Michel all signed with Miami this offseason – three guys who are all more talented than any running back they had in 2021. With the duo threat at wide receiver this season, expect Mike Gesicki to put his hand in the dirt this season playing as a true tight end instead of a wide receiver. There is a lot of pressure on Tua Tagovailoa to take another step forward this season or else Teddy Bridgewater is waiting in the wings to take control of this high-powered offense. 

THE BAD

Can this offensive line keep Tua upright long enough to let plays develop? Last year, PFF graded this offensive line as the worst in the league. The unit gave up a league-leading 235 quarterback pressures and had the worst pass-blocking efficiency in the NFL. How come they didn’t look like the worst in the league? This was most likely due to Tua’s average time to throw in 2021 — 2.49 seconds. Pass block win rate measures how often a line can sustain a pass block for 2.5 seconds. 18% of Tua’s pass attempts in 2021 came off of RPOs, which was the highest in the league by 6%. This horrible offensive line was disguised all of last season by being able to run block on short, quick passing plays. Miami brought in Terron Armstead and Connor Williams this offseason, which is a step in the right direction. Is Tyreek Hill fast enough to help this pass blocking situation, or is Tua going to be criticized all year for not throwing the deep ball?

THE UGLY

The Dolphins have one of the best cornerbacks in football in Xavien Howard. Howard can’t cover every receiver on the field though. It’s sounding like Byron Jones might not be ready for Week 1 after missing all of training camp to this point with minor Achilles surgery this offseason. Nik Needham is an improving long-term solution. Trill Williams suffered a torn ACL in preseason week 1. That leaves them with Mackensie Alexander, Elijah Campbell, and Keion Crossen to fill the void – all of which were anticipated to be nothing more than special teams players. Let’s not forget before the magical run in the second part of last season, this Dolphins defense was the worst in the NFL – ranking 27th in interception rate and giving up 414.9 yards per game in their 1-6 start last season.

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UNDERDOG FANTASY TOP BEST BALL STACKS
Tyreek HillADP 22.9 – Round 2
Jaylen WaddleADP 37.9 – Round 3
Tua TagovailoaADP 135 – Round 11
Mike GesickiADP 149.4 – Round 12

New England Patriots 2022 Fantasy Breakdown

Patriots Futures (Super Bowl +4000, NFC Champion +2200, Division +500)

2021 Record: 10-7

Key Additions / Departures
Signings / ResigningsNotable Draft PicksDepartures
DEDeVante ParkerGCole StrangeCBJ.C. Jackson
LBMack WilsonWRTyquan ThorntonDEChase Winovich
SJabril PeppersCBMarcus JonesGShaq Mason
CBJack JonesOLTed Karras
Offensive Depth Charts (with Phantasia Sports ADP Rankings – PPR)
20212022
QBMac JonesMac Jones (159.5)
RBDamien Harris / Rhamondre Stevenson / James WhiteDamien Harris (56.9) / Rhamondre Stevenson (87.9)
WR1Jakobi MeyersDeVante Parker (130.6)
WR2Nelson AgholorJakobi Meyers (157.4)
WR3Kendrick BourneKendrick Bourne (188)
WR4N’Keal HarryNelson Agholor (205)
TEHunter HenryHunter Henry (131.8)

RotoRadar is extremely excited to be partnering with Phantasia Sports for the 2022-23 NFL season! As the first blockchain-powered, peer-to-peer fantasy sports platform, Phantasia is changing the way you play both DFS and season-long. With zero ‘house’ fee worries, let the blockchain run and manage your league entry fees and payouts on their platform! All RotoRadar season-long fantasy football leagues will be Phantasia-powered and we couldn’t be more excited to take this next step of innovation with all of you.

Sign up to join/create leagues via this link!


THE GOOD

I am all in on Rhamondre Stevenson this season. In his 2021 timeshare, Stevenson ran 133 times for 606 yards and 5 touchdowns. These numbers don’t do justice to how hard and physical Stevenson is in the backfield. With a whopping 2.7 yards after contact per attempt, he ranked behind only Rashaad Penny, Nick Chubb, and Jonathan Taylor in that category.  Damien Harris’ rookie deal expires going into next season and I don’t anticipate the Patriots signing him to a long term deal after drafting Pierre Strong Jr. in the fourth round. Another guy I’m circling in this offense, to probably some surprise, is Hunter Henry. At the beginning of the 2021 season, the tight end position was projected to be split between Henry and Jonnu Smith. Jonnu eventually worked his way slowly out of this. Jakob Johnson was the only fullback on the roster in 2021 but was cut this offseason. I anticipate that Jonnu Smith falls into a role as a hybrid H-back leaving tight end reps almost 100% on Henry. Last year from week 4 onward, Henry was targeted on 42% of his routes in the red zone resulting in finishing the season with 9 touchdowns.     

THE BAD

At the end of the day, this team is going to go as far as Mac Jones takes them. Although he was impressive in his rookie season, Jones’ 37.3% completion percentage and 40.7% off-target rate when throwing 20+ yards down field leaves a lot to be desired. Some of this could be blamed on his lack of talent at wide receiver last year but I’m not entirely sure how much it improved. DeVante Parker is a big name but has only played an entire season once since entering the league in 2015. It’s no secret that Jakobi Meyers doesn’t know where the end zone is and Kendrick Bourne is middling at best. Nelson Agholor has flashed upside through camp thus far but has yet to prove himself as something more than a field stretcher with inconsistent numbers. 

THE UGLY

The man responsible for the offensive play calling since 2012 has left the building. Josh McDaniels is now the head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2022 season. Now, you can say all you want about the importance of Brady and Belichick, but this man was the brains behind the whole offensive operation. Let’s not forget that in his first stint calling plays in New England from 2006-2008, McDaniels called a Matt Cassel-led Patriots offense to an 11-5 record after a Brady season-ending injury. When McDaniels left for Las Vegas, he also brought along offensive line coach Carmen Bricillo, receivers coach Mick Lombardi, and quarterbacks coach Bo Hardegree. Now this once explosive offense is in the hands of Joe Judge and Matt Patricia, which is extremely concerning when you have two formerly fired head coaches trying to lead a young quarterback to success in a partially new system. 

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UNDERDOG FANTASY TOP BEST BALL STACKS
Rhamondre StevensonADP 88 – Round 7
Damien HarrisADP 99.8 – Round 8
Hunter HenryADP 151.4 – Round 12
Mac JonesADP 177.7 – Round 14

New York Jets 2022 Fantasy Breakdown

Jets Futures (Super Bowl +15000, AFC Champion +8500, Division +2400)

2021 Record: 4-13

Key Additions / Departures
Signings / ResigningsNotable Draft PicksDepartures
TECJ UzomahCBSauce GardnerSMarcus Maye
TETyler ConklinWRGarrett WilsonLBJarrad Davis
OGLaken TomlinsonEdgeJermaine JohnsonWRJamison Crowder
RBTevin ColemanRBBreece HallDTFolorunso Fatukasi
Offensive Depth Charts (with Phantasia Sports ADP Rankings – PPR)
20212022
QBZach WilsonZach Wilson (166.8)
RBMichael Carter / Tevin Coleman / Ty JohnsonBreece Hall (47.8) / Michael Carter (101.7)
WR1Corey DavisElijah Moore (87.8)
WR2Elijah MooreCorey Davis (185.2)
WR3Jamison Crowder Garrett Wilson (158.4)
WR4Keelan ColeBraxton Berrios (200)
TETyler KroftCJ Uzomah (348)

RotoRadar is extremely excited to be partnering with Phantasia Sports for the 2022-23 NFL season! As the first blockchain-powered, peer-to-peer fantasy sports platform, Phantasia is changing the way you play both DFS and season-long. With zero ‘house’ fee worries, let the blockchain run and manage your league entry fees and payouts on their platform! All RotoRadar season-long fantasy football leagues will be Phantasia-powered and we couldn’t be more excited to take this next step of innovation with all of you.

Sign up to join/create leagues via this link!


THE GOOD

The Jets are a team with a ton of super young talent. They had one of the most aggressive (and maybe best) drafts in the entire NFL. At number 4 overall, the Jets selected Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner. This is notable because New York’s secondary has been very bad the last few seasons and they are hoping to have found the building block in the top five. At number 10, they selected Garrett Wilson. QB Zach Wilson now has his WR1 (Elijah Moore) and WR2 (Garrett Wilson) of the future to start building chemistry. At number 26, the Jets selected Jermaine Johnson. HC Robert Saleh was obsessed with Johnson’s length and agility to contribute to both the pass rush and run defense (to the point where they almost took him at number 4). On day two, the Jets remained aggressive and traded up to select Breece Hall. Hall is expected to be the top backfield option from day 1. All of these guys are young but all have more than enough ability to make an immediate impact on this roster in 2022.

THE BAD

Losing Mekhi Becton for the season is not exactly how the team wanted to start training camp. This offensive line has been consistent but have struggled with injuries the last couple of seasons. Becton already missed all of last season, where George Fant stepped in tremendously. Now that the initial plan of Becton has backfired, we see that the entire unit is lacking depth. The addition of veteran Duane Brown certainly helps solidify this, but if anyone were to go down this year, they would have no one better than a fourth-round pick to step in and try to pick up the slack. It is worth noting that the Jets could have selected either Ikem Ekwonu or Evan Neal to help address the situation but decided to go elsewhere and that plan has massively backfired.    

THE UGLY

You can’t build an empire overnight. Be patient with the process. It’s hard to address issues at positions when almost every position is an issue. The Jets are probably a year or two away from turning things around. They allowed the most rushing touchdowns in the NFL (28) last season while ranking 29th in rushing yards allowed (138.3/game). The secondary was addressed and should help start turning things around, but there was nothing done to address the interior this offseason. While a smart business decision, the team let Foley Fatukasi walk at the 3-years/$30M price tag. Their only replacement was Solomon Thomas, who had the second-worst run defense grade among qualified interior lineman. Aside from Quinnen Williams, their defensive trench god, everyone has elite pass rush capabilities but are below average against the run. All but one linebacker on the team are converted safeties. They all possess elite range and coverage capabilities but are unproven against the run and extremely undersized. Expect teams to make a living running between the tackles this year.

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UNDERDOG FANTASY TOP BEST BALL STACKS
Breece HallADP 42.9 – Round 3
Elijah MooreADP 66.2 – Round 5
Garrett WilsonADP 116.2 – Round 9